First, from the current favorable situation analysis, we must do a good job in this year's autumn harvest at least in the following four aspects.
First, the actual national feeding volume has declined. Since the beginning of the summer and autumn of this year, Jiangyan has experienced low temperature and humidity, long-term rain, serious insect infestation, and generally insufficient mulberry leaf and pod quality. In Guangxi, Yunnan and other places, the impact of drought on seed production and calving decreased by nearly 20%. In all aspects, the national autumn ytterbium production cut was a foregone conclusion, directly affecting the production of silk reeling enterprises in the first half of next year, especially the shortage of high-quality mantle resources. Will further increase.
The second is that the state has started to set up its factory wire stocks, and the silk reel market has stabilized. After the end of the acquisition of Chunxi, there was a substantial shock in the silk market in China, and the prices dropped greatly. In order to ensure the sustainable and healthy development of China's cocoon silk industry, the State Wire Reel Office recently launched a national reserve plan for the factory wire, effectively stabilizing the reeling market, and the price of cocoon wire has been rising in recent days. It is expected that the autumn harvest price will still maintain a certain comparative advantage in sericulture production.
Third, the country’s acquisition policy is clear, and order management is as usual. Recently, the Department of Commerce of the main producing provinces and the Silk Threading Office held a meeting for the acquisition of Qiuyu specifically and requested all localities to earnestly implement the "Delivery and Management of Silkworm Cocoon Production in 2011" issued by the Ministry of Commerce and the State Administration for Industry and Commerce in the autumn and winter. The "Notice of the People's Republic of China" (Commercial Development (No. 374) No. 374) further strengthened the order management of the silkworm cocoon acquisition market; the Ministry of Commerce and the State Administration for Industry and Commerce, the Administration of Commerce and Industry, the Measures for the Accredited Acquirement of Fresh Pod Acquired by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry (Order No. 4 of 2007) ); industry and commerce administrative departments at all levels in the silkworm cocoon acquisition season, the illegal acquisition of silkworm cocoons to be handled in a timely manner, from the fast processing.
Fourth, in the silk industry, people in the industry have a more objective understanding of the development prospects of the silk and silk industry, unlike the blindness of the Spring Festival, coupled with the tight funding this autumn, the price of silk will be returned to rationality.
Second, from the analysis of the existence of many unfavorable factors, doing a good job in this year's autumn and winter acquisitions at least the following four aspects of the unfavorable situation.
First, due to the severe climate impact, there are many uncertain factors in the production of cocoons. Since the beginning of summer this year, there have been more rain, less light, and serious insect pests. The mulberry garden has reduced the amount of leaves by about one-quarter compared with the previous year. In late autumn, silkworm leaves will be very serious. In particular, a small number of local pest control and disease control drugs are extremely unregulated, coupled with the impact of adverse weather conditions, pesticide pollution ** exists at all times, anti-virus security work a long way to go. In Guangxi, Yunnan and other places, the number of drought-producing crops and breeding batches decreased, and the amount of calving produced in the autumn fell sharply.
Second, the market risk is still very high. The operating and processing companies are facing a crisis of survival. Due to the high price of tantalum in last year and the first half of this year, the fissured silk market was shaken. After the acquisition of Chunshao, the price of tantalum and silk dropped all the way. The tantalum filament processing business suffered serious losses, and the total loss and loss amount exceeded the previous round. A trough of silk. Although the country has taken a series of macro-control measures to stabilize the market, it will take some time due to many factors. Silk is an export-oriented industry. At present, the employment rate in Europe and the United States has decreased. The intensity of consumption has further shrunk. The stock index has seen a new round of decline. In September, the three major U.S. stocks and the British, French, and German stock markets fell the most in recent years, directly affecting silk. The duration of the price rebound. If the prices of silk reels continue to fall sharply, silk companies will have difficulty contending and face a new round of survival crisis.
Third, the total production volume has been reduced. Due to the impact of natural disasters, there is a gap in the good domestic mantle source.
Fourth, the refurbishment of the means of trafficking has made it more difficult to check the market. Nowadays, more and more countermeasures have been taken against silkworm traffickers, and more and more means of trafficking have made it more difficult for law enforcement in the silkworm cocoon market.
Third, according to this year's acquisition situation, the main response should be taken. In the face of the complex and changeable new situation and new features of silkworm cocoon acquisition, local governments and relevant departments must pay great attention to it, deal with it rationally, grasp it accurately, and form a consensus: We must base ourselves on the overall situation, focus on the long-term, and strengthen the sense of responsibility for co-conspiracy; Economic laws, to strengthen the awareness of industrialization and trade integration of trade, industry and agriculture; to strictly enforce industry policies, strengthen the management consciousness of the success or failure of the acquisition order; to establish the concept of survival and development by quality, and to strengthen the market consciousness of quality first; We take into consideration the interests of the trade, industry, and agriculture, and strengthen the overall awareness of coordinated development.
Doing a good job in this year's autumn harvest is not only crucial for ensuring the increase of farmers' income, efficiency of enterprises, and tax increase, but also closely related to the sustainable development of the silk industry.
First, the actual national feeding volume has declined. Since the beginning of the summer and autumn of this year, Jiangyan has experienced low temperature and humidity, long-term rain, serious insect infestation, and generally insufficient mulberry leaf and pod quality. In Guangxi, Yunnan and other places, the impact of drought on seed production and calving decreased by nearly 20%. In all aspects, the national autumn ytterbium production cut was a foregone conclusion, directly affecting the production of silk reeling enterprises in the first half of next year, especially the shortage of high-quality mantle resources. Will further increase.
The second is that the state has started to set up its factory wire stocks, and the silk reel market has stabilized. After the end of the acquisition of Chunxi, there was a substantial shock in the silk market in China, and the prices dropped greatly. In order to ensure the sustainable and healthy development of China's cocoon silk industry, the State Wire Reel Office recently launched a national reserve plan for the factory wire, effectively stabilizing the reeling market, and the price of cocoon wire has been rising in recent days. It is expected that the autumn harvest price will still maintain a certain comparative advantage in sericulture production.
Third, the country’s acquisition policy is clear, and order management is as usual. Recently, the Department of Commerce of the main producing provinces and the Silk Threading Office held a meeting for the acquisition of Qiuyu specifically and requested all localities to earnestly implement the "Delivery and Management of Silkworm Cocoon Production in 2011" issued by the Ministry of Commerce and the State Administration for Industry and Commerce in the autumn and winter. The "Notice of the People's Republic of China" (Commercial Development (No. 374) No. 374) further strengthened the order management of the silkworm cocoon acquisition market; the Ministry of Commerce and the State Administration for Industry and Commerce, the Administration of Commerce and Industry, the Measures for the Accredited Acquirement of Fresh Pod Acquired by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry (Order No. 4 of 2007) ); industry and commerce administrative departments at all levels in the silkworm cocoon acquisition season, the illegal acquisition of silkworm cocoons to be handled in a timely manner, from the fast processing.
Fourth, in the silk industry, people in the industry have a more objective understanding of the development prospects of the silk and silk industry, unlike the blindness of the Spring Festival, coupled with the tight funding this autumn, the price of silk will be returned to rationality.
Second, from the analysis of the existence of many unfavorable factors, doing a good job in this year's autumn and winter acquisitions at least the following four aspects of the unfavorable situation.
First, due to the severe climate impact, there are many uncertain factors in the production of cocoons. Since the beginning of summer this year, there have been more rain, less light, and serious insect pests. The mulberry garden has reduced the amount of leaves by about one-quarter compared with the previous year. In late autumn, silkworm leaves will be very serious. In particular, a small number of local pest control and disease control drugs are extremely unregulated, coupled with the impact of adverse weather conditions, pesticide pollution ** exists at all times, anti-virus security work a long way to go. In Guangxi, Yunnan and other places, the number of drought-producing crops and breeding batches decreased, and the amount of calving produced in the autumn fell sharply.
Second, the market risk is still very high. The operating and processing companies are facing a crisis of survival. Due to the high price of tantalum in last year and the first half of this year, the fissured silk market was shaken. After the acquisition of Chunshao, the price of tantalum and silk dropped all the way. The tantalum filament processing business suffered serious losses, and the total loss and loss amount exceeded the previous round. A trough of silk. Although the country has taken a series of macro-control measures to stabilize the market, it will take some time due to many factors. Silk is an export-oriented industry. At present, the employment rate in Europe and the United States has decreased. The intensity of consumption has further shrunk. The stock index has seen a new round of decline. In September, the three major U.S. stocks and the British, French, and German stock markets fell the most in recent years, directly affecting silk. The duration of the price rebound. If the prices of silk reels continue to fall sharply, silk companies will have difficulty contending and face a new round of survival crisis.
Third, the total production volume has been reduced. Due to the impact of natural disasters, there is a gap in the good domestic mantle source.
Fourth, the refurbishment of the means of trafficking has made it more difficult to check the market. Nowadays, more and more countermeasures have been taken against silkworm traffickers, and more and more means of trafficking have made it more difficult for law enforcement in the silkworm cocoon market.
Third, according to this year's acquisition situation, the main response should be taken. In the face of the complex and changeable new situation and new features of silkworm cocoon acquisition, local governments and relevant departments must pay great attention to it, deal with it rationally, grasp it accurately, and form a consensus: We must base ourselves on the overall situation, focus on the long-term, and strengthen the sense of responsibility for co-conspiracy; Economic laws, to strengthen the awareness of industrialization and trade integration of trade, industry and agriculture; to strictly enforce industry policies, strengthen the management consciousness of the success or failure of the acquisition order; to establish the concept of survival and development by quality, and to strengthen the market consciousness of quality first; We take into consideration the interests of the trade, industry, and agriculture, and strengthen the overall awareness of coordinated development.
Doing a good job in this year's autumn harvest is not only crucial for ensuring the increase of farmers' income, efficiency of enterprises, and tax increase, but also closely related to the sustainable development of the silk industry.
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